**Allan Lichtman: Wrong Again?**

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Post on Nov 07, 2024

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Allan Lichtman: Wrong Again?

Allan Lichtman is a historian at American University who's become known for his presidential election predictions. He uses a system of 13 "keys" to determine who will win the White House. It's pretty wild, but it's worked for the past 40 years.

So, did Lichtman call it right this time? Did he correctly predict Biden's victory in 2020? You betcha! He's been spot-on since 1984. He even called Trump's win in 2016, which shocked a lot of folks.

Lichtman's Keys: A System for Predicting the Future?

These "keys" are basically conditions that either favor the incumbent party or the challenger. They cover things like economic conditions (think inflation, jobs), political scandals, and even wartime situations.

The key, pun intended, is that you need a certain number of keys to swing the election in one direction or the other. It's a system of logic more than pure guesswork. Lichtman doesn't use polls or fancy algorithms. He just looks at the facts and how they align with his keys.

Does It Really Work?

I know, it sounds crazy! But the evidence is pretty compelling. Lichtman has never been wrong. It's pretty remarkable when you think about it.

He says he gets his inspiration from a historian named James MacGregor Burns. Burns had his own system for predicting presidential elections, and it was actually pretty accurate too. Lichtman modified Burns' system and made it even better.

The 2024 Election: What's Next?

Lichtman hasn't released his prediction for the 2024 election yet. But based on his system's past success, everyone's waiting with bated breath to see what he says. Will he continue his winning streak? Or will this be the year the system fails?

Only time will tell. But one thing's for sure: Lichtman's predictions are always worth paying attention to. He's the real deal, and he's got a system that seems to work. Who knows, maybe he's even got a glimpse of the future!